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The Urban Development Program (UDP) identifies land as it is transformed from paddocks (englobo land) to lots for homes (titled lots).
Greenfield land
Residential greenfield land is former rural land on the fringe of the existing urban area that is typically developed for detached houses. The availability of englobo land acts as a stock of future residential lots.
As of June 2022, Mildura’s greenfield land has the capacity to produce around 11,178 residential lots. These lots are at different stages of development:
- 424 proposed greenfield lots in the process of being subdivided.
- 3,154 lots from englobo land – zoned for residential use.
- 7,600 lots from unzoned englobo land – requires strategic planning or rezoning.
In the 12 months to June 2022, there were 232 greenfield lots titled across the growth areas.
Estimated lot supply, June 2022
| Area | Unzoned | Zoned | Proposed | Total Supply |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greenfield total | 7,600 | 3,154 | 424 | 11,178 |
| Major infill | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total supply | 7,600 | 3,154 | 424 | 11,178 |
Greenfield lots with a title
A titled lot is serviced by core infrastructure such as roads, water, drainage, and electricity so a dwelling can be built. Since 2015 an average of 179 lots have been titled per year in Mildura with yearly totals consistently between 140 and 190. The 132 lots titled in the first 6 months of 2022 suggest 2022 might be a higher-than-average year.
Titled greenfield lots
Size of greenfield lots
The size of greenfield lots can change estimates of future supply. Since 2015 lots 500 to 649 m2 and 650 to 799 m2 have consistently been the most common lot size titled in Mildura. Over the same period the proportion of lots less than 500 m2 has fluctuated as individual estates supply a smaller product. The titled lot size informs the UDP’s estimate of the number of residential lots which can be produced from future greenfield land. The consistency in larger lot sizes being titled indicates that growth areas have similar capacity to accommodate residential development as previous estimates.
Percentage of titled greenfield lots by size
Years of greenfield residential supply remaining
Years of Greenfield supply remaining is a calculation of the total estimated stock of lots divided by the average number of lots being titled per year. These estimates of the number of years of supply are based on the average rate of lots released over a longer-term time period (between January 2015 and June 2022) and a shorter-term time period (between January 2021 and June 2022).
| Lots titled per year | Zoned lot supply | Zoned years of supply | Zoned and unzoned lot supply | Zoned and unzoned years of supply | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Short term | 203 | 3,578 | 18 | 11,178 | 55 |
| Long term | 179 | 3,578 | 20 | 11,178 | 62 |
Major infill is not included in the calculation of greenfield years of supply.
This estimate is a guide to future consumption of residential land. Future estimates will change as land is consumed, but also as the expectations for density and or built form in the greenfield areas evolves over time.
Page last updated: 24/06/24