The Urban Development Program (UDP) identifies land as it is transformed from paddocks (englobo land) to lots for homes (titled lots).
Greenfield land
Residential greenfield land is former rural land on the fringe of the existing urban area that is typically developed for detached houses. The availability of englobo land acts as a stock of future residential lots.
As of June 2023, Baw Baw’s greenfield land has the capacity to produce around 20,653 residential lots. These lots are at different stages of development:
- 1,722 proposed greenfield lots in the process of being subdivided.
- 18,931 lots from englobo land – zoned for residential use.
In the 12 months to June 2023, there were 360 greenfield lots titled across the growth areas, less than the 392 lots titled in the previous 12 months.
Major residential infill
Major infill are residential sites that are parcels of land in previously developed areas, over 1 hectare and expected to yield 10 or more residential lots. There were enough potential major residential infill sites for an estimated 108 residential lots. Major infill is not included in the greenfield years of supply calculation.
Estimated residential lot supply, June 2023
| Area | Unzoned | Zoned | Proposed | Total Supply |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drouin - North | 0 | 2,937 | 363 | 3,300 |
| Drouin - South | 0 | 4,536 | 311 | 4,847 |
| Warragul - East | 0 | 73 | 21 | 94 |
| Warragul - North | 0 | 6,653 | 744 | 7,397 |
| Warragul - South | 0 | 4,682 | 283 | 4,965 |
| Warragul - Remainder | 0 | 50 | 0 | 50 |
| Greenfield Total | 0 | 18,931 | 1,722 | 20,653 |
| Major infill | 0 | 99 | 9 | 108 |
| Total | 0 | 19,030 | 1,731 | 20,761 |
Greenfield lots with a title
A titled lot is serviced by core infrastructure such as roads, water, drainage, and electricity so a dwelling can be built. Since 2015 an average of 381 lots have been titled per year, with the majority of these up to 2019 being in Warragul. Since 2020 both Drouin and Warragul have had similar yearly totals.
Titled greenfield lots
Size of greenfield lots
The size of greenfield lots can change estimates of future supply. Since 2017 the proportion of larger lots over 650 m2 has declined slightly while lots 500 to 649 m2 have been the most common and increased in proportion from 32% to 50%. The decrease in titled lot size informs the UDP’s estimate of the number of residential lots which can be produced from future greenfield land. This indicates that growth areas may have increased capacity to accommodate residential development than previous estimates.
Percentage of titled greenfield lots by size
Years of greenfield residential supply remaining
Years of Greenfield supply remaining is a calculation of the total estimated stock of lots divided by the average number of lots being titled per year. These estimates of the number of years of supply are based on the average rate of lots released over a longer-term time period (between January 2015 and June 2023) and a shorter-term time period (between January 2021 and June 2023).
| Lots titled per year | Zoned lot supply | Zoned years of supply | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Short term | 431 | 20,653 | 47 |
| Long term | 381 | 20,653 | 54 |
Major infill is not included in the calculation of greenfield years of supply.
This estimate is a guide to future consumption of residential land. Future estimates will change as land is consumed, but also as the expectations for density and or built form in the greenfield areas evolves over time.
Page last updated: 24/06/24