The Urban Development Program (UDP) identifies land as it is transformed from paddocks (englobo land) to lots for homes (titled lots).
Greenfield land
Residential greenfield land is former rural land on the fringe of the existing urban area that is typically developed for detached houses. The availability of englobo land acts as a stock of future residential lots.
As of June 2023, Bacchus Marsh’s greenfield land has the capacity to produce around 12,962 residential lots. These lots are at different stages of development:
- 760 proposed greenfield lots in the process of being subdivided.
- 1,352 lots from englobo land – zoned for residential use.
- 10,850 lots from unzoned englobo land – requires strategic planning or rezoning.
In the 12 months to June 2023, there were 395 greenfield lots titled across the growth areas, more than the 127 lots titled in the previous financial year. Greenfield development can be varied in smaller towns due to fewer estates.
Major residential infill
Major infill are residential sites that are parcels of land in previously developed areas, over 1 hectare and expected to yield 10 or more residential lots. There were enough potential major residential infill sites for an estimated 127 residential lots.
Estimated residential lot supply June 2023
| Area | Unzoned | Zoned | Proposed | Total Supply |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hopetoun Park | 450 | 0 | 0 | 450 |
| Merrimu | 7,200 | 0 | 0 | 7,200 |
| Parwan | 3,200 | 0 | 0 | 3,200 |
| Remainder | 0 | 1,352 | 760 | 2,112 |
| Greenfield Total | 10,850 | 1,352 | 760 | 12,962 |
| Infill | 0 | 127 | 0 | 127 |
| Total | 10,850 | 1,479 | 760 | 13,089 |
Greenfield lots with a title
A titled lot is serviced by core infrastructure such as roads, water, drainage, and electricity so a dwelling can be built. Since 2015 an average of 227 lots have been titled per year in Bacchus Marsh, with yearly totals varying from over 450 in 2018 to less than 100 lots in 2021.
Titled greenfield lots
Size of greenfield lots
The size of greenfield lots informs the UDP’s estimate of the number of residential lots. Estimates of future supply may vary with market trends. Since 2017 lots the highest proportion of lots have consistently been between 300 to 400 m2. Over the same period lots between 650 to 799 m2 have increased in proportion. The recent increase in titled lot size informs the UDP’s estimate of the number of residential lots which can be produced from future greenfield land. This indicates that growth areas may have less capacity to accommodate residential development than previous estimates.
Percentage of titled greenfield lots by size
Years of greenfield residential supply remaining
Years of Greenfield supply remaining is a calculation of the total estimated stock of lots divided by the average number of lots being titled per year. These estimates of the number of years of supply are based on the average rate of lots released over a longer-term time period (between January 2015 and June 2023) and a shorter-term time period (between January 2021 and June 2023).
| Lots titled per year | Zoned lot supply | Zoned years of supply | Zoned and unzoned lot supply | Zoned and unzoned years of supply | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Short term rate | 225 | 2,112 | 9 | 12,962 | 57 |
| Long term rate | 227 | 2,112 | 9 | 12,962 | 57 |
Major infill is not included in the calculation of greenfield years of supply.
This estimate is a guide to future consumption of residential land. Future estimates will change as land is consumed, but also as the expectations for density and or built form in the greenfield areas evolves over time.
Page last updated: 24/06/24