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The Urban Development Program (UDP) identifies land as it is transformed from paddocks (englobo land) to lots for homes (titled lots).
Greenfield land
Residential greenfield land is former rural land on the fringe of the existing urban area that is typically developed for detached houses. The availability of englobo land acts as a stock of future residential lots.
As of June 2022, Latrobe’s greenfield land in Churchill, Moe, Newborough, Morwell and Traralgon has the capacity to produce around 9,502 residential lots. These lots are at different stages of development:
- 841 proposed greenfield lots in the process of being subdivided.
- 8,661 lots from englobo land – zoned for residential use.
In the 12 months to June 2022, there were 323 greenfield lots titled across the growth areas.
Estimated lot supply, June 2022
| Area | Unzoned | Zoned | Proposed | Total Supply |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Churchill | 0 | 1,494 | 97 | 1,591 |
| Moe/Newborough | 0 | 4,724 | 263 | 4,987 |
| Morwell | 0 | 1,220 | 123 | 1,343 |
| Traralgon | 0 | 1,223 | 358 | 1,581 |
| Greenfield total | 0 | 8,661 | 841 | 9,502 |
Greenfield lots with a title
A titled lot is serviced by core infrastructure such as roads, water, drainage, and electricity so a dwelling can be built. Since 2015 an average of 231 lots have been titled per year, though annual numbers have fluctuated between fewer than 100 lots in 2018 and 2019 to nearly 400 in 2020. Most titled lots have been in Traralgon.
Titled greenfield lots
Size of greenfield lots
The size of greenfield lots can change estimates of future supply. Since 2015 the majority of lots titled have been greater than 500 m2. Lots greater than 800 m2 are trending up after a low of 4% in 2017 to 34% in 2022. The increase in residential lot size informs the UDP’s estimate of the number of residential lots which can be produced from future greenfield land. This indicates that growth areas may have less capacity to accommodate residential development than previous estimates.
Percentage of titled greenfield lots by size
Years of greenfield residential supply remaining
Years of Greenfield supply remaining is a calculation of the total estimated stock of lots divided by the average number of lots being titled per year. These estimates of the number of years of supply are based on the average rate of lots released over a longer-term time period (between January 2015 and June 2022) and a shorter-term time period (between January 2020 and June 2022).
| Lots titled per year | Zoned lot supply | Zoned years of supply | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Short term | 356 | 9,502 | 27 |
| Long term | 231 | 9,502 | 41 |
Major infill is not included in the calculation of greenfield years of supply.
This estimate is a guide to future consumption of residential land. Future estimates will change as land is consumed, but also as the expectations for density and or built form in the greenfield areas evolves over time.
Page last updated: 24/06/24